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Mining on the Stock Market


Mining on the Stock Market

With over 150 mining companies listed on the LSE, London is now the first choice for miners looking to raise money on the world's capital markets. And this has given the UK investor a huge range of possibilities for speculating on the current commodities boom.

 

The UK Mining Sector

There are many ways of classifying the companies within the mining sector, but seeing as this is an investment article, we shall use the FTSE Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB). Mining is an industry sector in its own right - it sits alongside a number of other closely associated industry sectors, including Oil & Gas and Industrial Metals - which we will cover at a later date.

The ICB further divides the mining sector into five material-based sub-sectors:

Sub-sector

Commodity

Typical End Use

Coal

Thermal coal; metallurgical coal

Power generation; steel processing

Diamonds & Gemstones

Diamonds; rubies; tanzanite; opal; etc

Retail jewellery. Most industrial diamonds are synthetic

General Mining

Base metals - ferrous & non-ferrous; energy & industrial minerals

Electrical connectors; wires; construction & machinery; air conditioning and refrigeration

Gold Mining

Gold-bearing ores

Gold's pliability and conductivity lend it well to jewellery, electronics, dentistry - and investment

Platinum & Precious Metals

Platinum group metals (platinum, rhodium, palladium); silver; other precious metals

As well as their use in jewellery and electronics, 'PGMs' are essential in the production of catalysts for engines

 

Current Market Factors

The unprecedented demand for many metals and minerals in the current market is being driven by the expanding Chinese and Indian economies. Demand currently outstrips supply - right the way through from base metals to uranium - and commodity prices have surged to record levels.

·          Asian demand. Copper is used in all forms of electrical conduction and prices have soared. Paladin, zinc and platinum have also hit multi-year highs. Silver is used in export products such as mobile phones - silver futures hit a 23-year high of $11.45 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange NYMEX at the end of March.

·         Supply uncertainty. Global copper and zinc stock levels are low. A lot of the current mining activity takes place in economically or politically unstable countries and any minor threat to the supply chain is impacting on prices. A strike at Grupo Mexico's copper mine and the closing of several mines in Indonesia (due to landslides and environmental concerns) helped push copper futures to a record $5,490 a tonne on the London Metal exchange (LME) on March 31.

·          Economic uncertainty. Gold prices have surged as a result of investors buying bullion to hedge against a weak US Dollar and to guard against geo-political uncertainty. Gold futures hit $591.80 an ounce at the end of March, the highest closing price since 1981.

 

London as the market of choice

London and New York stand head and shoulders above the other world financial centres - and London is now edging ahead. London boasts a 31% share of the global market for foreign exchange, 70% of the Eurobond market, 20% of the world's international bank lending - and 43% of the global foreign equity market.

This last figure relates to international companies listing on stock markets outside their country of nationality. London is now the largest foreign equity market in the world - and the world's foremost market for mining stocks:

·          There have been over 32 non-UK listings on the LSE in Q1 2006, as against 11 non-US listings on the New York Stock Exchange.

·          In 2005, more than £9 billion was raised by non-UK flotations on the LSE, versus a mere £2 billion raised by non-US flotations on the NYSE.

Two factors have accounted for this shift from New York to London:

·          The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 was introduced in the wake of the Enron scandal. Its strict reporting requirements were designed to protect the US investor - but the extra bureaucracy has pushed new listings into the arms of the LSE.

·          Second, London benefits from its geographic location and time zone - being a middle market between the Americas and the Far East.

Mining companies from across the world have therefore chosen to list in London and there are now over 60 foreign miners listed on the LSE.

Of course, following the news that the NASDAQ has bought a 15% stake in the LSE, the dynamic between the markets may change in the future. As news changes daily, investors are advised to get the latest information before making any investment decisions.

The surging global demand and uncertain supply have caused record commodity prices and the mining shares have benefited accordingly - making this a very interesting sector for the private investor.

 

The Mining Sector Top Ten

There are around 150 mining companies on the LSE - 15 listed on the Main Market and the remainder on AIM. Most of these companies have widespread overseas operations - and very often they have primary or secondary overseas stock market listings as well.

Top 10 Mining Companies

Industry Sub-Sector

Market Cap £mil

ANGLO AMERICAN

General Mining

32,024.41

RIO TINTO

General Mining

30,459.05

BHP BILLITON

General Mining

25,630.08

XSTRATA PLC

General Mining

9,958.79

KAZAKHMYS

General Mining

4,053.00

ANTOFAGASTA

General Mining

4,016.38

LONMIN

Platinum & Precious Metals

2,958.20

VEDANTA

General Mining

2,771.34

RANDGOLD

Gold Mining

1,114.67

KAZAKHGOLD

Gold Mining

698.40

Source: LSE 31/01/2006

Anglo-American is the largest of these behemoths. Listed in London since 1999, Anglo-American is a major player in the diamond industry and owns 45% of De Beers diamonds.

Share prices have recently risen in reaction to plans to reduce its 51% holding in AngloGold Ashanti and buy back $2 billion of shares (news releases: 23/03/06, 24/03/06).

Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton shares both surged recently after signing contracts to sell uranium to Taiwan and China. BHP Billiton shares were further stimulated by a larger-than-expected share buyback worth $1.6 billion (news release: 03/04/06).

Vedanta, with operations concentrated in India, expects to benefit from India's continuing demand for base metals - and its new $2.1 billion aluminium smelter project in Jharsuguda, Orissa (news release: 01/03/06).

Kazakhmys specialises in copper mining in Kazakhstan and was the best performing stock in the FTSE 100 last month.

Gold miners Randgold and Kazakhgold have both benefited from buoyant gold prices. Kazakhgold is a relative newcomer to the LSE, only listing in December 2005. As its name suggests, the Group's main activity is gold mining in Kazakhstan.

 

Consolidation in the Mining Sector

On top of rocketing commodity prices, the possibility of consolidation within the mining sector has further excited investors.

The Xstrata share price has moved up on the back of persistent rumours relating to a takeover bid for Canadian miner Falconbridge. Xstrata is a Swiss company and holds the distinction of operating the world's largest zinc smelter in Northern Spain.

Antofagasta shares edged upwards on the news that the miner was poised to acquire Tethyan Copper in Australia (news release: 28/03/06), which will give access to the giant Reko Diq copper/ gold mine in Pakistan.

Lonmin, the world's third-largest primary platinum producer, saw its share price surge during February on news that it was in discussions with an unknown bidder (news releases: 17/02/06, 24/02/06). These talks foundered, but rumours of an offer persist.

 

Mining on AIM

Whilst the LSE Main Market holds the global giants of the mining world, AIM holds the smaller, more dynamic (and more volatile!) operators. There are over 140 miners listed on AIM, accounting for around 15% of this entire fledgling market. And they just keep on coming - there have been 9 more miners listed since March 1st alone!

AIM offers a more relaxed regulatory environment for companies to raise capital. The smaller mining companies fit the growth company profile that so many AIM investors look for - which explains why both the miners and the investors are drawn together on AIM.

The smaller mining companies on AIM can generate equally impressive and ruinous results:

·         Shares in diamond exploration company African Diamonds rose by a phenomenal 74% in March on news that the valuation of its Botswana project - yet to start production - is likely to be revised upwards (news release 31/03/06).

·         Tertiary Minerals saw their share price increase by 62.16% in response to news of an agreement with a Saudi consortium to conduct feasibility studies for a new tantalum-niobium project (a metal used in surgical instruments!) (news release: 31/03/06).

·         On the other hand, River Diamonds dropped a painful 37% last month after announcing a loss of £1.4 million in 2005, caused by its failure to develop a project in Brazil (news release: 24/02/06). 

As always, AIM companies offer big rewards - and great risks - to investors!


 
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