Property on the Stock Market
Property Investment on the Stock Market
'Property' has long been a subject of endless fascination and heated debate. But until recently, property investment was beyond the means of most ordinary people and only really of interest to the professional investor. It was the advent of ‘buy-to-let’ in the mid-nineties that revolutionised our attitudes toward property investment.
Buy-to-let grew quickly in the late 1990's but only really took off in the early 2000s - a period that coincided with the end of the dot-com era, the subsequent stock market collapse and the ensuing scrabble for alternative investments.
The Council of Mortgage Lenders reports that gross buy-to-let mortgage advances increased by over 500% between the years 2000 and 2005:
|
Period |
Gross Adv No. |
Gross Adv £'m |
|
2000 |
48,400 |
3,900 |
|
2001 |
72,200 |
6,900 |
|
2002 |
130,000 |
12,200 |
|
2003 |
187,600 |
19,200 |
|
2004 |
217,700 |
21,800 |
|
2005 |
223,800 |
24,500 |
The very concept of buying property as an investment has become so engrained in our collective conscience that it is now regularly viewed as an alternative to rival the traditional pension. And having embraced residential property as an investment, it has only been a short step for many private investors to branch into overseas property ('fly-to-let'), commercial property and even full scale property development.
Property Investment on the
However, not everyone has the time or resources to invest directly into the property market. And even those with the resources might wish to spread their capital across a more diversified portfolio.
Investing in property through the stock market gives a number of advantages over doing so directly. Whilst property can take months to buy or sell, property shares can usually be traded instantaneously. And whilst a direct investment requires a major capital outlay with heavy transaction fees, buying into property through the stock market can be done at any level, with no minimum capital and with comparatively small transaction costs.
Investing in property through the stock market means buying shares in companies working within the property industry. And there are many different types of business involved. For the sake of this article, we are going to focus on the Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB) sub-sectors ‘Home Construction’, ‘Real Estate Holdings & Development’ and ‘Real Estate investment Trusts’.
· Home Construction - residential homes, including mobile and prefabricated homes
· Real Estate Holdings & Development - companies that invest in real estate through development, management or ownership, including property agencies
· Real Estate investment Trusts - investment trusts or corporations (REITs) and listed property trusts (LPTs)
Current Market Factors
Every industry sector has its own unique set of risks and factors that affect the performance of the individual shares. Property in itself is a relatively stable investment, but these factors will influence demand and affect the underlying price:
· Interest rates. One of the most important factors to consider when deciding upon whether to invest in the housing market is the bank interest rate. A low rate improves mortgage affordability, increases buyer confidence and strengthens the private sector housing market. And vice versa. The Bank of England has kept interest rates on hold at 4.5% this month - for the 11th consecutive month.
· State of the Economy. Cyclical vs defensive stocks: Defensive stocks are generally considered to be more resilient to downturns in the economy, whilst 'cyclicals' will flourish in the good times and suffer when the economy dips. Property is considered to be 'cyclical' - the residential housing market will suffer from lack of confidence in a recession whilst commercial rents will also suffer if consumer spending dips.
· New legislation. There are currently several new pieces of legislation coming into effect - and the industry is undecided upon the likely outcome.
· HIPs, or Home Information Packs, come into effect in June 2007. This is a new requirement for the seller of a property to provide all potential buyers with information on the property title, standard enquiries, and an energy performance certificate. This is likely to cost the seller around £1,000 and detractors suggest it may slow the housing market.
· Housing Act 2004. This new piece of legislation is yet to be fully implemented, but in essence requires landlords renting out Houses in Multiple Occupancy (HMOs) to be licensed by the local authorities. The exact definition of what constitutes an HMO seems to vary from one council to the next, but this legislation is certain to affect the buy-to-let market.
· Targets for 'Brownfield Development' and 'Affordable Housing'. There have been a number of government initiatives aimed at encouraging the redevelopment of the inner-cities and providing more social & affordable housing for 'key workers'. For example, the Starter Home Initiative (SHI) aims to help 10,000 key workers into home ownership in areas of expensive housing, where key workers are leaving existing jobs, or not taking up new vacancies.
Something for Everyone!
Property companies vary in size from the massive to the microscopic. The FTSE 100 contains giants such as Hammerson, Liberty Intl,
|
Market |
Capitalisation |
No. of Listings |
|
Main Market |
Large cap shares (FTSE 100) |
5 |
|
|
Mid cap shares (FTSE 250) |
30 |
|
|
Small cap shares (FTSE All-share excl. FTSE 350 + Fledglings) |
28 (20 SmallCap + 8 Fledglings) |
|
AIM |
|
42 |
There are currently 105 property companies listed on the
The Property Top 10
The two largest companies in the property sector stand head and shoulders above the rest. Land Securities and
Land Securities was established in 1944, when founder and chairman Harold Samuel (who coined the phrase "Location, Location, Location") bought a small investment trust, which at the time owned three houses in Kensington together with some government stock. The company now control a £13 billion investment portfolio, which includes one million sq. m. of office and retail floor space in
Land Securities' share price has risen 7.9% in the first 6 months of 2006, on the back of strong quarterly results - with Q1 operating profits up 24% from the previous year to £2.4 billion (news release 27/04/06).
|
Top 10 Property Companies |
Industry Sub-Sector |
Mkt Cap £ mil |
|
LAND SECURITIES |
Real Estate Holding & Development |
8,463.85 |
|
|
Real Estate Holding & Development |
6,559.82 |
|
PERSIMMON |
Home Construction |
3,540.89 |
|
|
Real Estate Holding & Development |
3,516.21 |
|
HAMMERSON |
Real Estate Holding & Development |
3,231.98 |
|
|
Real Estate Holding & Development |
2,572.77 |
|
BARRATT DEV |
Home Construction |
2,221.30 |
|
TAYLOR WOODROW |
Home Construction |
1,970.89 |
|
WIMPEY(GEORGE) |
Home Construction |
1,819.23 |
|
WILSON BOWDEN |
Home Construction |
1,337.84 |
The
Persimmon is the
Following its acquisition of fellow house-builder Westbury PLC in January of this year, the enlarged group now builds over 16,000 homes annually.
Liberty International has been among the strongest performers from the property top ten, with its share price rising 26.1% in the first six months of 2006. The Group is currently understood to be competing with a private Irish investor to purchase London's iconic Covent Garden through its subsidiary Capital & Counties - rumours that come hot on the heels of the Group's sale of the King's Reach complex on London's Southbank for £80 million (news release: 15/05/2006).
Other companies in the sector are also involved in regional takeovers to expand their activities. Barratt Developments completed the acquisition of Squire Bridge Limited, a Guildford-based developer, for a total consideration in excess of £25 million (news release: 14/06/2006). Whilst Wilson Bowden announced the purchase of Roland Bardsley Homes - a house-builder with projects concentrated in the Greater Manchester area - for a purchase price of £25 million (news release: 26/06/2006).
Property on AIM
AIM is heavily represented in the property sector, with 42 companies listed on the junior market. And it has been the AIM companies that have contributed the sector's top movers over the past 6 months.
· China Real Estate Opportunities SA saw its share price surge an astonishing 287% per cent in the first 6 months of 2006 after only listing in late 2005. However, the gains were less to do with astounding company performance and more to do with restricted availability of shares on the market.
· Northacre was another top performer, rising 217% over the same period after announcing a joint venture with FTSE 250 developer Minerva to buy Cambulo Lancaster Gate Development Limited for £67.6 million (news release: 01/02/2006).
· East London focused Telford Homes has seen its share price increase 35% in 2006 thanks to impressive annual results which it has attributed to the 10% underlying rise in East London property prices following the capital's successful bid for the 2012 Olympics (news release: 23/05/06).
· At the other end of the scale, Nadlan dropped a precipitous 82% in June on the back of the former chief executive selling 10.9 million Nadlan shares below market price, flooding the market for this low volume stock.
As always, AIM companies offer excellent returns – as well as large potential losses.

